Secret of Success in One Simple Formula!

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Dear Readers,

Thank you for coming here!

Consider the formula below:

P=1-（1-P1）×（1-P2）×（1-P3）×（1-P4）×……（1-Pn）

If you have also taken “Probability” classes in school, you know this is the way to calculate the probability of succeeding at least once in N tries, with a probability for success in any try being P and N being the number of tries.

If we apply this to life, from a pure mathematical point of view, we can tabulate below chances for success in anything we do.

*N = number of tries

*Age = 18 + N x 7, assuming we get a chance to try every 7 years and we get our first chance at age of 25.

From Author

If we are doing something with 10% of probability of success, then by the time we are 81, the change that we would have succeeded is 60%.

If probability of success is 20%, then we will be at 60% at age 46. By age 81, we would be very close to 90%.

With 30% probability of success, we are almost certain to have succeeded by age 81.

…

Also note that this is not considering the evolvement of probability of success. As we get more experiences in doing somethings, our probability of success tends to increase.

And that would just make the above table more favorable to our odds.

Life seems pretty full of hope!

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Of course, there are factors that would pull us down.

First of all, once we succeed, we need to be careful not to make any fatal mistakes. 

Any one of them could erase our progress completely and even hurt our chances of starting over.

Secondly, do not give up.

The probability only works in our favor with increasing number of tries.

Thirdly, do not switching what we try frequently.

If we try a different thing each time, we will be trapped in the zone of low probability of success. 

Fourthly, do away with the anxiety.

Most commoners succeed after various tries, which means they succeed at older ages.

If you have not succeeded, keep trying but there is no need for the anxiety, which ruins your life and hurts your probability of success.

If you are not a commoner and have all your life planned by someone loving and powerful, you should not be wasting your time reading this blog. 

Go take advantage of what you have and do bigger and better things. 

Or at least enjoy your lives.

To us all! And till next time!

Fighting Spirits!!

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Dear Readers,

Thank you for coming here! 

We had a team building event last week. 

While it could be called a competition, it was a very casual one, because it quickly became clear that our performances heavily depended on the tool we got allocated.

The tools were supposed to be identically efficient. 

They were not!

So the casual competition became even more casual.

Most of us did not care about winning at all. 

The prize for winners were not attractive anyway.

Instead, we focused on interacting with our colleagues and having fun.

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As the game went on, to our surprise, we could not help noticing how fiercely the two VPs, highest management present that day and oldest among us (50s and 60s), competed against each other.

They were observing which tools were the most efficient and demanded them to be assigned to them.

And of course, they tried everything to be as fast as possible.

In the final round, when most of us got hungry and just wanted to have a good dinner, the two VPs were still in their games, full hearted.

Of course, one of them was the champion. 

And no one could miss the excitement on his face. Clearly, he enjoyed his sense of achievement.

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As one of the first to lose interest in the game and give up competing for winning, I could not help wondering whether I lack the fighting spirit in me.

The game surely looked boring and unfair. 

I chose to lose interest and give up.

The two VPs chose to take it as another opportunity to challenge themselves. They decided to give their best to win.

I wonder whether I have given up too many small things like this at work and in life.

Each of them could be an opportunity to improve myself or others.

Each of them could have accumulated to make a difference.

Maybe that is why they are VPs.

Maybe that is why they look and feel younger, even with their grey and white hair.

Physical ages matter less!

Till next time!